Stratfor Bungles Central American Drug Trade Analysis
The Austin-based geopolitical analysis firm Stratfor recently published an article entitled, “Central America: An Emerging Role in the Drug Trade.” We were on the road and thus unable to post when it came out, but wanted to share a few errors we found.
First, Central America was a transit corridor back to the 1960’s. This was clearly documented by the 1970’s. For proof, look no further than the charges and counter-charges between the Sandinistas and the Contras over which had dirtier hands when it came to drug money. (The answer, not surprisingly, was both.)
Second, Mexican influencing replacing Colombian influence owes more to Uribe’s successes than anything the Mexicans did or even wished they could do. They are having to go further upstream to keep the supply flowing.
Third, if the Central American route is ever choked off it will just open someplace else. The real problem is US drug demand, not who supplies it.
Fourth, our schizophrenic attitude on drugs (make them illegal but treat users as victims) is a national security menace (see Afghanistan) that we refuse to connect the dots on.
Fifth, Central America is more destabilized by blow-back from the criminal deportations that unlimited immigration to the US has created than anything with the drug war. The huge chaos is uneducated bangers returning to a country they barely remember and running wild (MS-13, etc.). Open borders has major costs.